GYUMRI, Armenia — When Russia first set up a military base on the dusty hills overlooking what is now Armenia’s second-largest city, it marked the edge of the Tsarist empire.
Then, as now, the position was a strategic asset. On one side, the city of Gyumri, with its buildings made of black stone, extends across a vast plain. Just a few miles in the other direction is the border with Turkey, Armenia’s long-standing adversary.
For decades, the proximity to Turkey meant Armenians welcomed this outpost of Russian military influence.
But geopolitical tides are changing. Incensed by what they see as Russia’s inaction during the conflict with Azerbaijan in recent years, many Armenians have grown distrustful of their historic ally.
Officials have initiated a dizzying geopolitical realignment. Last year, Yerevan demanded that Russian border guards leave the country’s main airport as well as the tense border region with Azerbaijan. And Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan froze Armenia’s participation in the Russia-led CSTO military alliance.
As a result, the 102nd Military Base has effectively become Moscow’s last major outpost of military influence in Armenia — and one of its last in the wider Caucasus region.
But these days its future, too, seems precarious.
Critics see the Russian base’s presence as an impediment to normalizing relations with Turkey, and a series of mysterious crimes tied to the base — some details of which The Moscow Times is reporting for the first time — have produced complicated feelings among locals.
As a trial over the most recent of these crimes nears its end, those involved feel their window might be closing to get answers.
Russia’s military presence in Gyumri, a city of more than 100,000 located about 50 miles northwest of Armenia’s capital Yerevan, dates back to the early 19th century.
During a period of conflict with the Ottoman Empire in the 1830s, Russia built an imposing fortress in the hills west of town. When Armenia and Russia established the 102nd Military Base in the 1990s, they chose the same location for the new base.
Russian soldiers’ ability to deploy quickly from the base was believed to be a deterrent to an Azerbaijani takeover of the Armenia-backed breakaway region of Nagorno-Karabakh.
But when that exact scenario played out in 2023 and Russia did not come to Armenia’s aid, the Armenian public’s perception of Russia plummeted.
Experts say that because Armenia and Russia’s security situations have changed dramatically, the base now serves little purpose.
“The base is a political instrument rather than a real military one,” said Areg Kochinyan, president of the Research Center on Security Policy, a Yerevan-based think tank.
“With the war in Ukraine,” he added, “a large portion of the Russian military personnel from the base was lifted back to Russia.”
Nevertheless, the 102nd’s presence has shaped Gyumri over the years.
Russian soldiers and their families are integrated into the local community, and the base has contributed to Gyumri’s vitality.
Daily flights to Moscow bolster a modest local tourism industry — something that was especially important after an earthquake in 1988 devastated the region’s economy.
Signs of national unity are everywhere. A Russian Orthodox church constructed a century and a half ago still flies the Russian and Armenian flags.
For nearly as long as it has existed the base has been a magnet for controversy, owing to a series of crimes that have strained relations with locals.
There was the time in 1999 when two soldiers opened fire near a local market, killing two.
In 2013 two boys in a neighboring town found and accidentally set off leftover training ordinance in a field.
And many Armenians recall with horror the 2015 Avetisyan killings, when a deserter from the base killed seven members of a local family — a display of wanton violence for which there is still no explanation, people who were involved with the case told The Moscow Times.
Locals were outraged. They gathered in front of the 102nd’s gates, demanding that Russia hand the suspect, Valery Permyakov, over to Armenian authorities.
“It was not easy to keep these people from attacking the base,” Levon Barseghyan, the head of a local journalists association, said of the mood. “I was on the front line at that time, and it was very problematic.”
Protesters got their way. Permyakov was tried in an Armenian court and sentenced to life imprisonment in 2016.
The furor died down — but not for long.
Anahit Ghukasyan remembers how people started to lock their doors in the days after the Avetisyan killings. She never could have imagined that a similar series of events would befall her family.
Her story begins almost four years later. It was a morning in early December 2018, like any other. She and her mother, 57-year-old Julieta Ghukasyan, had left the family home in central Gyumri early to go to their jobs as street cleaners.
Anahit was at work when she got a call. It was her neighbor: Did Anahit know why the police were at the house?
Anahit rushed home, where the police had been questioning her grandmother. There had been an incident, they said, and her mother was injured.
At the hospital, for reasons she still does not understand, she was not allowed to see her mother. Instead, she had to rely on information given to her by a police officer before she arrived.
“Your mother was beaten” in the street, she recalls him saying. “There’s a bruise under her eye, [she’ll be] home in half an hour.”
But the wounds were more severe than expected. Julieta died later that day.
It took more than a week for Anahit to find out the suspect’s identity: a soldier stationed at the Russian base named Andrei Razgildeyev.
Like in the Avetisyan killings, there was no discernable motive. Anahit said her mother “didn’t have any enemies,” that she “lived such a pure life with honor and grace.”
According to investigators, Razgildeyev had been drinking and, spotting Julieta walking down the street, decided to engage in a spontaneous act of violence.
But to Anahit this is an inadequate explanation for her mother’s death. Why, according to her, does a CCTV video appear to show Razgildeyev hiding behind trees before the killing? Why did he target her mother?